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A Factor Investor’s Perspective of the Economic Cycle

June 02, 2016 by Ehren Stanhope

Does the economic cycle have any bearing on investment success? Macro investment houses have constructed intricate frameworks to understand the “economic machine,” but economic data are notoriously prone to revisions, lags, and adjustments in measurement through time—none of which are suitable for timely and reliable investment signals. Certain fundamental characteristics—not economic variables—drive stock returns. This piece identifies investment themes that deliver persistent outperformance in multiple different economic environments.

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June 02, 2016 /Ehren Stanhope
economy, recessions, stocks

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