Factor Investor

Timely investment themes informed by deep historical research

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Featured
Why Do Markets Go Up?
Feb 19, 2019
Why Do Markets Go Up?
Feb 19, 2019

Stock markets are the greatest compounders of wealth the world has ever seen. Sadly, most introductory investment courses and literature do not begin with an explanation as to why markets go up. It’s such a fundamental question, but it is often overlooked.

Feb 19, 2019
Where is the Value?
Jan 29, 2019
Where is the Value?
Jan 29, 2019

Investors always want to know what’s cheap—cheap relative to the opportunity set and relative to history.So it’s always interesting to take a look at the global landscape to see which markets are trading at attractive prices.

Jan 29, 2019
Conviction, evidence, and accepting ignorance
Jul 24, 2018
Conviction, evidence, and accepting ignorance
Jul 24, 2018

Coaches teach us the fundamentals of some activity. If there was an “ideal” investment coach, what fundamentals would she focus on? This is my current take.

Jul 24, 2018
False Promises: Going Passive is Not Momentum Investing
Jun 14, 2018
False Promises: Going Passive is Not Momentum Investing
Jun 14, 2018

There is some popular marketing spin going around that indexing—constructing portfolios based on market-cap weights—is effective because it allows an investor to own more of companies that have been successful and appreciated, while moving away from losers that have been unsuccessful and declined This sounds logical, but it is empirically wrong.

Jun 14, 2018
Dimensions of Return
May 22, 2018
Dimensions of Return
May 22, 2018

What are the levers that managers can pull to drive return for any investment strategy? This piece boils it down to consistency, magnitude, and conviction, and finds that even the best managers have done a poor job at portfolio construction. Most would be better off equal-weighting their own portfolios.

May 22, 2018
When Breaking up is Easy To Do
Apr 4, 2018
When Breaking up is Easy To Do
Apr 4, 2018

The first of many hopefully...my good friend Steven Wood and I have been tossing around the idea of collaborating on some work in hopes it ups both of our research games. I often get asked whether or not factors go out of favor. This is a pretty good case study that yes, sometimes what worked in the past doesn't continue in the future.

Apr 4, 2018
Panic! At the Disco
Mar 24, 2018
Panic! At the Disco
Mar 24, 2018

Making money has been too easy since 2009. It’s about to get harder.

Mar 24, 2018
What’s Cheap? A Factor Perspective
Mar 22, 2018
What’s Cheap? A Factor Perspective
Mar 22, 2018

There are a hundred ways to evaluate whether an investment is cheap--discounted cash flows, competitor multiples, mean reversion, multiple of projected earnings--the list goes on...and on. What's cheap now form a factor perspective?

Mar 22, 2018
Starting from Scratch
Mar 3, 2018
Starting from Scratch
Mar 3, 2018

One of the things I’ve learned over the years is that there is a persistent dualism in conducting research balance—a between reliable preexisting findings and questioning preconceived notions.

Mar 3, 2018
Investing Outside the U.S. - Purgatory for Pessimists
Nov 14, 2017
Investing Outside the U.S. - Purgatory for Pessimists
Nov 14, 2017

Anyone overweight to non-U.S. allocations has suffered over the previous ten years. The current equity bull market has not been kind to non-U.S. allocations. At a recent conference I attended, the term ‘TINA: there is no alternative’ came up more than once in the context of allocating investor portfolios. It captures the collective sentiment that equities, despite a massive bull run and rising valuations, are one of few viable asset classes to park capital.

Nov 14, 2017

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